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CNBC AI · 2026/8/4 21:39:30

Michael Burry bets against rally: 'We are near a major top, and possible a 1987-type fall'
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“大空头”原型迈克尔·伯里再次发出警告:尽管美股标普500指数刚创下历史新高,他却坚持看跌,认为市场可能正接近一个重大顶部,甚至可能重演1987年的暴跌。简单说,就是这位曾成功预测次贷危机的投资人认为,眼下这波上涨越猛,未来摔得越狠,就像气球吹得太大容易爆掉。他正在押注市场下跌,相当于给股市买了一份“下跌保险”。对普通人来说,这意味着如果你有股票、基金或者养老金账户,短期内市场波动可能会加剧,不宜盲目追高,也要留足应对下跌的缓冲空间。当然,他的预测不一定准,但这提醒我们:行情越热闹,越要保持冷静。
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MarketsMichael Burry bets against rally: 'We are near a major top, and possible a 1987-type fall'Published Tue, Aug 4 20264:39 PM EDTUpdated Tue, Aug 4 20265:39 PM EDTYun Li@YunLi626WATCH LIVEKey Points"I continue to believe it is possible we are near a major top, and possible a 1987-type fall," Burry said in a Tuesday Substack post. The S&P 500 jumped 1.9% Tuesday to its first record close since June, buoyed by stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and another drop in oil prices.In this article.SPX.IXICSOXXFollow your favorite stocksCREATE FREE ACCOUNTMichael Burry attends "The Big Short" New York premiere at the Ziegfeld Theater in New York, Nov. 23, 2015.Andrew Toth | Filmmagic | Getty ImagesMichael Burry of "The Big Short" fame is sticking with his bearish wagers even as the S&P 500 surges to a record high, warning that the rally could still end in a sharp sell-off reminiscent of the 1987 stock-market crash."I continue to believe it is possible we are near a major top, and possible a 1987-type fall, but the S&P 500 making new highs likely will bring new money into the market," Burry said in a Tuesday Substack post. The S&P 500 jumped 1.9% Tuesday to its first record close since June, buoyed by stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and another drop in oil prices as hopes grew that the Strait of Hormuz would reopen to maritime traffic. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite soared 2.7%, extending its gain in just the first two days of the week to nearly 5%.Burry has been among Wall Street's most outspoken skeptics of the artificial intelligence boom, arguing that demand for AI infrastructure is being fueled by financing arrangements that may prove unsustainable. He said the market's advance is creating a self-reinforcing cycle, with declining volatility encouraging systematic investors to increase exposure."Remember, the market going up on falling volatility forces vol-t
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