Daily Tech Briefing
AI 科技速览
每天 5 分钟内学习 AI。获取最新的人工智能新闻,理解其重要性,并学习如何将其应用于您的工作。
CNBC AI · 2026/8/3 18:34:52

Can Palantir pull off a Microsoft-style comeback? Here's what options say
AI 中文解读
Palantir能否复制微软的逆袭剧本?这是CNBC这篇报道最抓眼球的地方。微软此前也是在财报前走势低迷,结果交出一份亮眼成绩单后股价三天暴涨25%,而期权市场的交易信号显示,投资者正押注Palantir也能上演同样的剧情。
简单来说,期权市场就像是一个大型赌场,有人买“看涨期权”赌股价上涨,有人买“看跌期权”赌股价下跌。周一的数据显示,Palantir的看涨合约数量是看跌的两倍多,56,000张对不到25,000张,说明市场情绪相当乐观。这背后的逻辑是,Palantir已经跌了九个月,大家觉得它该反弹了,就像弹簧压得越狠弹得越高。
对普通人来说,这事儿的实际影响在于:如果你关注科技股投资,Palantir的财报会是一个重要风向标——AI概念股到底是继续挤泡沫还是迎来拐点,这次财报会给出线索。即便不炒股,这类高关注度公司的业绩也影响着AI技术落地速度,企业订单增多意味着AI工具更快进入日常工作和生活。
Skip NavigationMarketsPre-MarketsU.S. MarketsCurrenciesPrediction MarketsCryptocurrencyFutures & CommoditiesBondsFunds & ETFsBusinessEconomyFinanceHealth & ScienceMediaReal EstateEnergyClimateTransportationInvestigationsIndustrialsRetailWealthSportsLifeSmall BusinessInvestingPersonal FinanceFintechFinancial AdvisorsOptions ActionETF StreetBuffett ArchiveEarningsTrader TalkTechCybersecurityAIEnterpriseInternetMediaMobileSocial MediaCNBC Disruptor 50Tech GuidePolitics & PolicyWhite HousePolicyDefenseCongressExpanding OpportunityVideoLatest VideoFull EpisodesLivestreamLive AudioLive TV ScheduleCNBC PodcastsCEO InterviewsCNBC DocumentariesDigital OriginalsWatchlistInvesting ClubTrust PortfolioAnalysisTrade AlertsMeeting VideosHomestretchJim's ColumnsEducationSubscribePROPro NewsJosh BrownMike SantoliCalls of the DayMy PortfolioLivestreamFull EpisodesStock ScreenerMarket ForecastOptions InvestingChart InvestingSubscribeLivestreamMenuMake ItselectUSAINTLLivestreamSearch quotes, news & videosLivestreamWatchlistSIGN INCreate free accountMarketsBusinessInvestingTechPolitics & PolicyVideoWatchlistInvesting ClubPROLivestreamMenu
(function() {
const userMembershipOnLastVisit = localStorage.getItem("cnbcMeta__cachedUserMembership");
if (!userMembershipOnLastVisit) {
// If no user membership is stored, user is likely not logged in.
// These users will typically see the banner.
return;
}
const { isPro, isInvestingClubUser } = JSON.parse(userMembershipOnLastVisit);
if (!(isPro || isInvestingClubUser)) {
// We’re rendering the top banner for users who are not pro or investing club members.
return;
}
// Hide the banner for pro and investing club users.
const style = document.createElement("style");
style.id = "top-banner-placeholder-style";
style.innerHTML = "[data-top-banner-placeholder] { display: none; }";
document.head.appendChild(style);
})()
Options ActionOptions ActionCan Palantir pull off a Microsoft-style comeback? Here's what options sayPublished Mon, Aug 3 20262:34 PM EDTOliver Renick@OJRenickWATCH LIVEIn this articlePLTRFollow your favorite stocksCREATE FREE ACCOUNTwatch nowVIDEO1:2501:25Options Action: Palantir reports after bellOptions ActionHopes are running high that high-profile software provider Palantir can shake off its nine-month bear market and rally after earnings Monday night.After all, the chart of Microsoft was looking similar going into its report, and that stock's now in the midst of a three-day, 25% bounce. The options flows around Palantir also mirror Microsoft going into its report, where traders were scooping up calls and betting on a bigger-than-usual swing.More than twice as many Palantir calls traded than puts by volume Monday, with traders buying 56,000 calls and fewer than 25,000 puts, according to ThinkOrSwim data. Of the $160 million in premium traded, $120 million was tied to calls, and the top five contracts traded by volume were all calls, SpotGamma data show.Stock Chart IconStock chart iconPalantir, 1-yearThe most popular contract for bulls was the 130-strike call expiring Friday, where traders bought 8,500 contracts totaling $4.4 million, according to SpotGamma. Trading for $5.30 a contract, the 130-strike calls need an 8 percent rally before the weekend to pay off. The 150 and 140-strike calls were second and third-most popular by volume.Cboe LiveVol data shows options pricing implying a 10.5% move after earnings, bigger than the median 7.4% move the past year. For the past five straight quarters, Palantir options have overestimated the actual move, the data show.The heavy call volume doesn't mean bears aren't taking shots. In fact, seven of the eight biggest dollar-amount trades of the day were neutral or bearish, according to Cboe data.That includes the biggest premium t
分享
阅读原文 ↗