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The Verge AI · 2026/7/27 15:00:00

Tariffs didn’t bring manufacturing jobs back to the US
AI 中文解读
【核心亮点】美国关税政策没能让制造业工作岗位回流,全球供应链依然在绕开美国运行。
【通俗解读】Altana公司CEO埃文·史密斯指出,尽管美国政府反复加征关税,试图迫使工厂搬回美国,但企业并没有这么做。原因很简单:把生产线迁回美国成本太高、人才不足。相反,企业通过AI和数据分析,更灵活地调整供应链——比如绕开关税高昂的国家,转到东南亚或墨西哥生产。Altana本身就用AI软件帮客户追踪数万亿美元的贸易数据,发现关税政策就像打地鼠,这边压下去,那边冒出来,实际效果非常有限。
【实际影响】对普通人来说,这意味着两件事:一是你买到的进口商品可能依然不便宜,因为关税成本最终会转嫁到消费者身上;二是指望关税政策能增加国内就业岗位,恐怕会落空。企业更倾向于优化全球布局,而不是单纯地“回流”。未来关税政策的不确定性可能让物价波动,而普通人需要更关注供应链变化对自己工作和生活的影响。
PodcastsClosePodcastsPosts from this topic will be added to your daily email digest and your homepage feed.FollowFollowSee All PodcastsPolicyClosePolicyPosts from this topic will be added to your daily email digest and your homepage feed.FollowFollowSee All PolicyTechCloseTechPosts from this topic will be added to your daily email digest and your homepage feed.FollowFollowSee All TechTariffs didn’t bring manufacturing jobs back to the USAltana CEO Evan Smith on the new normal of global trade.by Nilay PatelCloseNilay PatelEditor-in-ChiefPosts from this author will be added to your daily email digest and your homepage feed.FollowFollowSee All by Nilay PatelJul 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTCLinkShareNilay PatelCloseNilay PatelPosts from this author will be added to your daily email digest and your homepage feed.FollowFollowSee All by Nilay Patel is editor-in-chief of The Verge, host of the Decoder podcast, and co-host of The Vergecast.Today, I’m talking with Evan Smith, who is cofounder and CEO of Altana, a company that develops software tools to manage big, messy supply chain networks around the world.We last had Evan on in early 2025 to talk about how Trump’s first few waves of tariffs were starting to affect global trade and what patterns Altana was seeing in all that macro-level data about shipping and trade. It was a very alarming and also very illuminating chat; Evan and I got into the existential weeds of international relations and economics almost immediately. It was a great conversation.A year and a half later, and everything is somehow even more chaotic than it was the last time Evan and I talked — and that’s true both about trade and in the business world. And, as you’ll hear, we jumped right back into the weeds yet again.Developments in agentic AI have changed what Altana can do, but like every software company, they’ve also changed how Altana can do it. You’ll hear Evan describe how AI is changing how they make software for a very demanding set of clients that manage billions in international trade — which is causing some big debates about how a software company even runs in 2026.Verge subscribers, don’t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free Decoder wherever you get your podcasts. Head here. Not a subscriber? You can sign up here.And of course, what they do also needs to change more or less daily. Trade policy is changing rapidly around the world but likely nowhere faster than here in the US. Between the Trump administration’s whack-a-mole tariff policies and war in Iran, it’s very hard to keep up with the current rules.That’s where Altana comes in. All that data coming from all around the world gives Evan a really high-level view of what’s actually happening. All those tariffs, for example, were supposed to bring manufacturing jobs back to the United States. So I asked Evan directly: Is that actually happening? Spoiler alert — you won’t be surprised to hear him say “no.” And while it’s clear the world still relies on global supply chains, the pressure placed on economic chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz is going to get higher than ever.There’s a lot going on in this one — as you can tell, Evan and I really enjoy talking to each other.Okay: Altana CEO Evan Smith. Here we go.
This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.Evan Smith, you’re the co-founder and CEO of Altana. Welcome back to Decoder.It’s good to be here again. Thanks for having me.I was looking over our last interview from about a year and a half ago, and boy, we got straight into the existential weeds of what it means to run the global economy and what was changing. People can go back and watch, read, or listen to that interview. It’s very good. I really enjoyed it. The thing that strikes me about the past year and a half is that some of this stuff was theoretical the last time you were on the show. You founded Altana on the idea that globalization as we knew it — what you call, “globalization 1.0” — was going to come to an end, it w
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