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arXiv Machine Learning · 2026/7/22 04:00:00
Dual-domain fused LSTM modeling for efficient time-dependent reliability analysis
AI 中文解读
科研人员最近提出了一种名为DDF-LSTM的全新模型,专门用来预测工程设备在长期使用中何时可能出故障。传统方法很难同时处理设备本身的固定属性和随时间变化的运行环境,而新模型巧妙地把这两类信息融合在一起,就像给AI装上了“双重视野”——一边记住设备的基本参数,一边分析实时采集到的数据流,从而更准确地判断故障风险。更关键的是,模型还特别加强了对最坏情况的敏感度,这样算出的故障概率更精准。一旦训练完成,只需极低的计算成本就能快速模拟各种场景。
这项技术对普通人生活的影响很直接:未来我们用的汽车、飞机、桥梁甚至家用电器,在设计阶段就能更可靠地预测长期安全性,减少突发故障。比如电动汽车的电池寿命评估会更准,避免半路抛锚;家里的空调压缩机也能提前预警老化风险,让维修变得主动。对工程师来说,则意味着不用再靠大量实物测试来验证安全性,大幅缩短产品研发周期。
arXiv:2607.18291v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Time-dependent reliability analysis is crucial for ensuring the long-term safety and performance of engineering systems under uncertainties. However, traditional surrogate model methods often struggle to incorporate time-independent random variables and capture their complex interactions with time-dependent stochastic processes. To overcome this limitation, this paper proposes a dual-domain fused long short-term memory (DDF-LSTM) model for efficient and accurate time-dependent reliability analysis. A novel network architecture is developed to jointly process information from both time-dependent and time-independent domains. Specifically, the time-independent variables are embedded into the initial hidden states, and a fully connected layer is introduced to map both LSTM outputs and time-independent variables into the final output space. Furthermore, an improved loss function is designed to emphasize the model's sensitivity to minimum responses, thereby improving the precision of failure probability estimation. The proposed method effectively captures the dependencies among random variables, stochastic processes, and the temporal behavior of limit state functions. Once trained, the DDF-LSTM model enables efficient Monte Carlo simulation to estimate time-dependent failure probabilities with minimal computational cost. Four case studies validate the proposed method's enhanced computational efficiency and predictive accuracy.
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